As the legislative session nears adjournment, attention is on what will pass—the budget, the yield bill, the final numbers. But a more consequential question is: what if they don’t?

The impacts aren’t theoretical. Without a signed budget, Vermont risks partial shutdowns, disrupted payments, and long-term credit effects. Without a yield bill, default property tax rates could trigger sharp increases—42.4% for nonhomestead and 13.7% for homestead, about $325 million more than needed for the Education Fund and leaving school districts, employers, and property owners without legislative adjustment to these costs.

This uncertainty doesn’t stay in Montpelier. It stalls planning, delays hiring, and pauses investment—not from lack of will, but lack of clarity. Timing matters. Early decisions create stability; late ones create pressure; no decision creates uncertainty—compounding Vermont’s fiscal and affordability challenges.

These bills are also signals—about alignment, decision-making, and predictability. Over time, those signals shape whether businesses expand, invest, or look elsewhere. The final days of session aren’t just procedural—they influence confidence in Vermont’s economic environment.

It is important to focus on what policy decisions mean in practice—connecting them to real business impacts and advancing a more predictable, affordable future. The budget and yield bill will pass. The question is how: on time with clarity, or late with ripple effects beyond Montpelier.